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枫下家园 / 住房话题 /
tor
这房价涨得可够很的啊! 想请高手预测一下,5年后房屋的价钱和现在比会如何?
-zxcvb(朝天椒);
2004-6-9
(#1757514@0)
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如果经济上不出大的意外,比现在高是肯定的。但涨幅应该越来越低。
-holly999(酒肴肴);
2004-6-9
(#1757520@0)
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那您的意思现在应该买房?
-zxcvb(朝天椒);
2004-6-9
(#1757527@0)
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不知道。三年前我买房前,很多高手在报纸上预测房价到顶了,结果现在还没到。如果是我,就预测房价快到顶了,每年都这么说,早晚得说中。
-rollor(Rollor);
2004-6-9
(#1757544@0)
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都说房地产15年一个周期,涨跌各一半时间的话,各方7年半。您买房前几年是涨还是跌?
-zxcvb(朝天椒);
2004-6-9
(#1757556@0)
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涨,一直在涨。房地产专家都说涨到顶了,可还涨。我来这儿五年半了,在那之前不知道涨了几年了。
-rollor(Rollor);
2004-6-9
(#1757564@0)
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我找到一个chart, average price of homes - 1985 to current month
-zxcvb(朝天椒);
2004-6-9
(#1757588@0)
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温哥华的房子97年是一个顶峰,98年低谷,2001年涨回到97的水平,七年半,那就是说现在又是顶峰了
-xxjjs(东方射日);
2004-6-13
(#1762252@0)
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not sure if the real estate market is at the peak for the moment. it may continure climbing for a little while.quite sure that it will turn down-trend sliding once the interest rates are raised. for a house over 300K, not many people can afford to buy and not many people want to. this is the market. if the price doesn't fit, it must quit.
-cyd(cyd);
2004-6-13
{230}
(#1762271@0)
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Price will NOT fall unless the interest rate is unreasonablelly highEven the rate rises to normal level of 5 to 6% percent, house price will not fall much. The affordable index is below average at present, meaning houses are still very affordable. Even the rate goes to the historically average of 6%, that index won't be as high as 80%, which was the highest in 1989. House price will only fall when rate is above 10%. Buy as early as you have the downpayment.
-wanttobuyahouse(reallywanttobuyahous);
2004-6-13
{394}
(#1762344@0)