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通胀下半年结束，石油65？可信吗？

liqingzhao(清远)

Crude oil could collapse to US$65 a barrel by the end of this year and slump to US$45 by end-2023 if a demand-crippling recession hits, Citigroup has warned.

Full Story:
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/citi-warns-oil-may-collapse-to-us-65-by-the-year-end-on-recession-1.1787738

(#193129@43)
Last Updated: 2022-7-5

Replies, comments and Discussions:

通胀下半年结束，石油65？可信吗？ -liqingzhao(清远); 2022-7-5 {660} (#193129@43)

Crude oil could collapse to US$65 a barrel by the end of this year and slump to US$45 by end-2023 if a demand-crippling recession hits, Citigroup has warned.

Full Story:
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/citi-warns-oil-may-collapse-to-us-65-by-the-year-end-on-recession-1.1787738

油价大跌是早晚的事儿，下半年或者明年或者几年后，鬼知道。 -txn(秦川); 2022-7-5 (#193132@43)

今天大跌，100心理线以下在望。 -liqingzhao(清远); 2022-7-5 (#193133@43)

石油价格除了供需，各国的环保和能源政策也很关键。 -getbalance(橄榄树); 2022-7-5 (#193134@43) +1
宁愿加币跌，不要物价涨。 -235(豹脾气); 2022-7-5 (#193135@43) +1
Citi从2020年中开始就一直看跌油价到60。 -hvactech(tradeornot); 2022-7-7 {700} (#193151@43)

It will take until late 2021 for global oil consumption to return to the 2019 level of 101 million barrels a day due to growth in economy, ,” Ed Morse, global head of commodities research at Citi, said in an interview during the S&P Global Platts Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference.

Full Story:
https://www.worldoil.com/news/2020/9/14/citigroup-sees-60-oil-before-the-end-of-2021
油价大的方向还是往下走，现在是滞涨阶段，大宗商品才开始跌。等到衰退阶段，还是大宗商品跌。所以现在做空大宗商品是可以的。 -guop(Guo); 2022-7-8 (#193155@43) +1

现在不能做空石油黄金 -gnarble(xiangtuixiu); 2022-7-8 {166} (#193159@43)
俄乌战争长期化，前几年石油开发投入严重不足，即使经济衰退，也不会导致石油暴跌，价格估计在80-120之间浮动吧，均价100.
黄金价格也会保持稳定，我觉得会微涨吧。

看看美林时钟，就知道怎么做了 -guop(Guo); 2022-7-10 (#193172@43)

@Ontario

通胀下半年结束，石油65？可信吗？

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