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My theory (or my spectulation) is that all these are calculated moves, more like from a game theory

本文发表在 rolia.net 枫下论坛All parties, or at least Libral and NDP have not been ready for election. In previous votes, e.g. the one in Juen, NDP knew that Libral would like to have more time to gether themselve, therefore, they quickly claimed they would vote against the bill together with Bloc even before they really saw the detail of the bill. This move pushed Libral to support the Tory. Otherwise, they would face a summer election nobody, especially themselves, wants.

Now, on one hand, Libral cannot find a 'real' issue and build a 'real' arguement for fall election. On the other hand, however, they are risking not being able to distiguish themselves from Tory if they continue to prop up them. Iggy also got pressure from hardliners within the party. But, they also knew that NDP would not want to have a election now. NDP is not financially ready also they would probably lose seats to Libral. Understanding this reality, this time Libral move first to claim they would against the government.

Making this calculated move, they knew they would ease some pressure within their party and the chance of we actually having an election is small. Now, NDP had no choice but to support Tory. For Tory, Happer may actually want an election now given the support for Tory is not bad. The problem is they have already claimed that an election is unnecessary in the compaign against Grit. Therefore, they cannot use extreme hardline to leave other parties with absolutely no excuse to vote against them. Then, NDP would quickly find something as excuse/rational to support the Tory.

No matter what my views on different parties and on political overall, I still found the whole thing quite interesting.更多精彩文章及讨论,请光临枫下论坛 rolia.net
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Replies, comments and Discussions:

  • 枫下茶话 / 政治经济 / 自由黨現在就像扶不起來的阿斗,兩次了,反攻倒算失利,還都是這個新首領率領的。這個在美國,英國居住了40餘年的“外國人”,一笑就歪瓜裂栆,那麽輕而易舉的坐在領導的職位,自由黨真是沒有人才了嗎?
    • 不是我军无能,是敌人太狡猾
      • this is 政治!
    • 柿油党当真是人才济济, 可架不住哈伯太厉害了.
      • (1)對NDP流氓要狠狠打擊。(2)要剿滅分裂勢力。
    • My theory (or my spectulation) is that all these are calculated moves, more like from a game theory
      本文发表在 rolia.net 枫下论坛All parties, or at least Libral and NDP have not been ready for election. In previous votes, e.g. the one in Juen, NDP knew that Libral would like to have more time to gether themselve, therefore, they quickly claimed they would vote against the bill together with Bloc even before they really saw the detail of the bill. This move pushed Libral to support the Tory. Otherwise, they would face a summer election nobody, especially themselves, wants.

      Now, on one hand, Libral cannot find a 'real' issue and build a 'real' arguement for fall election. On the other hand, however, they are risking not being able to distiguish themselves from Tory if they continue to prop up them. Iggy also got pressure from hardliners within the party. But, they also knew that NDP would not want to have a election now. NDP is not financially ready also they would probably lose seats to Libral. Understanding this reality, this time Libral move first to claim they would against the government.

      Making this calculated move, they knew they would ease some pressure within their party and the chance of we actually having an election is small. Now, NDP had no choice but to support Tory. For Tory, Happer may actually want an election now given the support for Tory is not bad. The problem is they have already claimed that an election is unnecessary in the compaign against Grit. Therefore, they cannot use extreme hardline to leave other parties with absolutely no excuse to vote against them. Then, NDP would quickly find something as excuse/rational to support the Tory.

      No matter what my views on different parties and on political overall, I still found the whole thing quite interesting.更多精彩文章及讨论,请光临枫下论坛 rolia.net